Publications

@book{bunker2025chile,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Chile's Transformation Amidst Crisis: The Theseus Paradox}},
  publisher= {Palgrave Macmillan},
  address  = {Cham},
  isbn     = {978-3-031-96462-6},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.1007/978-3-031-96463-3},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2025-chiles-transformation-amidst-crisis-theseus-paradox/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2026electoral,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Electoral reform and party-system fragmentation: diminishing marginal effects and vote–seat conversion limits in Chile’s concurrent local elections}},
  journal  = {Local Government Studies},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.1080/03003930.2026.2704044},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2026-electoral-reform-party-system-fragmentation-diminishing-marginal/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2026challenging,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Challenging Conventional Wisdom in New Democracies: Social Diversity, Electoral Rules, and Party System Fragmentation in Chile}},
  journal  = {Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy},
  volume   = {25},
  number   = {1},
  pages    = {56--79},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.1089/elj.2024.0064},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2026-challenging-conventional-wisdom-new-democracies-social-diversity/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2025decades,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Decades of democracy: insights into the political landscape of Chile}},
  journal  = {Humanities and Social Sciences Communications},
  volume   = {12},
  eid      = {1911},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.1057/s41599-025-06180-1},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2025-decades-democracy-insights-into-political-landscape-chile/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2026electoral,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Electoral Forecasting in Volatile Party System Settings: Assessing and Improving Pre-Election Poll Predictions in Italy}},
  journal  = {Social Science Computer Review},
  volume   = {44},
  number   = {4},
  pages    = {595--616},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.1177/08944393251328309},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2026-electoral-forecasting-volatile-party-system-settings-assessing/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2026mapping,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Mapping party systems over time: a spatial distribution of ideological competition in Chile}},
  journal  = {Journal of Political Ideologies},
  volume   = {31},
  number   = {3},
  pages    = {905--922},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.1080/13569317.2025.2452179},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2026-mapping-party-systems-over-time-spatial-distribution/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2024party,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Negretto, Gabriel L.},
  title    = {{The party system effects of unstable electoral rules in Latin America}},
  journal  = {Party Politics},
  volume   = {30},
  number   = {6},
  pages    = {1126--1142},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.1177/13540688231196111},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2024-party-system-effects-unstable-electoral-rules-latin/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2022forecasting,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Forecasting two-horse races in new democracies: Accuracy, precision and error}},
  journal  = {Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública},
  volume   = {11},
  number   = {1},
  pages    = {81--108},
  year     = {2022},
  doi      = {10.14201/rlop.25374},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2022-forecasting-two-horse-races-new-democracies-accuracy/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2020two,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{A two-stage model to forecast elections in new democracies}},
  journal  = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  volume   = {36},
  number   = {4},
  pages    = {1407--1419},
  year     = {2020},
  doi      = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.02.004},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2020-two-stage-model-forecast-elections-new-democracies/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2021clivaje,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{El clivaje etario: backlash cultural en Chile}},
  journal  = {América Latina Hoy},
  volume   = {87},
  pages    = {3--28},
  year     = {2021},
  doi      = {10.14201/alh.22974},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2021-age-cleavage-cultural-backlash-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@article{brieba2019voter,
  author   = {Brieba, Daniel and Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Voter Equalization and Turnout Bias After Electoral Reform: Evidence from Chile’s Voluntary Voting Law}},
  journal  = {Latin American Politics and Society},
  volume   = {61},
  number   = {4},
  pages    = {23--46},
  year     = {2019},
  doi      = {10.1017/lap.2019.23},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2019-voter-equalization-turnout-bias-after-electoral-reform/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2019why,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Why do parties cooperate in presidentialism? Electoral and government coalition formation in Latin America}},
  journal  = {Revista de Estudios Políticos},
  number   = {186},
  pages    = {171--199},
  year     = {2019},
  doi      = {10.18042/cepc/rep.186.06},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2019-why-do-parties-cooperate-presidentialism-electoral-government/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2018eleccion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{La elección de 2017 y el fraccionamiento del sistema de partidos en Chile}},
  journal  = {Revista Chilena de Derecho y Ciencia Política},
  volume   = {9},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {204--229},
  year     = {2018},
  doi      = {10.7770/rchdcp-V9N2-art1823},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2018-2017-elections-fragmentation-party-system-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@article{bunker2016electoral,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Bauchowitz, Stefan},
  title    = {{Electoral Forecasting and Public Opinion Tracking in Latin America: An Application to Chile}},
  journal  = {Política. Revista de Ciencia Política},
  volume   = {54},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {207--233},
  year     = {2016},
  doi      = {10.5354/0719-5338.2016.44781},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2016-electoral-forecasting-public-opinion-tracking-latin-america/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2015incumbency,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Incumbency Advantage and Tenure Length in the Chilean Chamber of Deputies, 1989-2009}},
  journal  = {Revista de Ciencia Política},
  volume   = {35},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {251--271},
  year     = {2015},
  doi      = {10.4067/S0718-090X2015000200001},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2015-incumbency-advantage-tenure-length-chilean-chamber-deputies/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker20142013,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{The 2013 presidential and legislative elections in Chile}},
  journal  = {Electoral Studies},
  volume   = {34},
  pages    = {346--348},
  year     = {2014},
  doi      = {10.1016/j.electstud.2013.12.005},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2014-2013-presidential-legislative-elections-chile/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2013latin,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Latin American Political Outsiders, Revisited: The Case of Marco Enríquez-Ominami in Chile, 2009}},
  journal  = {Journal of Politics in Latin America},
  volume   = {5},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {3--35},
  year     = {2013},
  doi      = {10.1177/1866802X1300500201},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2013-latin-american-political-outsiders-revisited-case-marco/},
  language = {english}
}

@article{bunker2010explicando,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Explicando la desproporcionalidad en América Latina: magnitud de distrito, malapportionment y fragmentación partidaria}},
  journal  = {Revista Española de Ciencia Política},
  number   = {23},
  pages    = {81--110},
  year     = {2010},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2010-explicando-desproporcionalidad-america-latina-magnitud-distrito-malapportionment/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@article{bunker2010democracia,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Democracia comunal en Chile, 1992-2008}},
  journal  = {Política y Gobierno},
  volume   = {17},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {243--278},
  year     = {2010},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2010-democracia-comunal-chile-1992-2008/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{alenda2024between,
  author   = {Alenda, Stéphanie and López, Miguel Ángel and Bunker, Kenneth and Miranda, Nicolás},
  title    = {{Between Gattopardismo and Ideational Change: The Mainstream Chilean Right's Winding Road to Moderation}},
  booktitle= {The Recasting of the Latin American Right: Polarization and Conservative Reactions},
  editor   = {Borges, André and Lloyd, Ryan and Vommaro, Gabriel},
  pages    = {176--196},
  publisher= {Cambridge University Press},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.1017/9781009427432.011},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2024-between-gattopardismo-ideational-change-mainstream-chilean-rights/},
  language = {english}
}

@incollection{bunker2025representacion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Polga-Hecimovich, John},
  title    = {{Representación y dinámicas partidarias: la interacción entre sistemas electorales, clivajes sociales e ideas políticas en Chile}},
  booktitle= {Crisis de la representatividad de la democracia liberal: presente y futuro},
  editor   = {Abedrapo Rojas, Jaime Fernando},
  publisher= {Tirant lo Blanch},
  year     = {2025},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2025-representacion-dinamicas-partidarias-interaccion-entre-sistemas-electorales/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunkerforthcomingefecto,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Cancino, Rodrigo},
  title    = {{Efecto del sistema electoral en la distorsión entre el porcentaje de votos y el porcentaje de escaños en el Congreso}},
  booktitle= {El imperio contraataca: el retorno de la derecha al poder en Chile en las elecciones de 2017},
  year     = {forthcoming},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/forthcoming-efecto-sistema-electoral-distorsion-entre-porcentaje-votos/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{acevedo2017reeleccion,
  author   = {Acevedo, Sergio and Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Reelección y carreras legislativas en la Cámara de Diputados, 1990-2014}},
  booktitle= {El tsunami electoral de 2013 en Chile},
  editor   = {Morales, Mauricio and Navia, Patricio and Garrido, Carolina},
  pages    = {271--290},
  publisher= {Ediciones Universidad Diego Portales},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2017},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2017-reeleccion-carreras-legislativas-camara-diputados-1990-2014/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunker2012modificaciones,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Modificaciones y reformas al sistema electoral municipal en Chile, 1992-2008}},
  booktitle= {Democracia municipal en Chile, 1992-2012},
  editor   = {Morales, Mauricio and Navia, Patricio},
  pages    = {39--48},
  publisher= {Ediciones Universidad Diego Portales},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2012},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2012-modificaciones-reformas-al-sistema-electoral-municipal-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunker2012incumbencia,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{La incumbencia y reelección de alcaldes en Chile, 1992-2004}},
  booktitle= {Democracia municipal en Chile, 1992-2012},
  editor   = {Morales, Mauricio and Navia, Patricio},
  pages    = {49--64},
  publisher= {Ediciones Universidad Diego Portales},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2012},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2012-incumbencia-reeleccion-alcaldes-chile-1992-2004/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunker2010cambio,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Cambio y continuidad en la Cámara de Diputados, 1989-2014}},
  booktitle= {El sismo electoral de 2009},
  editor   = {Morales, Mauricio and Navia, Patricio},
  pages    = {185--201},
  publisher= {Ediciones Universidad Diego Portales},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2010},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2010-cambio-continuidad-camara-diputados-1989-2014/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunker2010votante,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{El votante díscolo}},
  booktitle= {Chile 2009: percepciones y actitudes sociales. 5to Informe de Encuesta Nacional ICSO-UDP},
  pages    = {121--132},
  publisher= {ICSO, Universidad Diego Portales},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2010},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2010-votante-discolo/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunker2009duracion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Duración de las carreras de alcaldes, 1992-2008}},
  booktitle= {Genoma electoral chileno},
  editor   = {Navia, Patricio and Morales, Mauricio and Briceño, Renato},
  pages    = {261--274},
  publisher= {Ediciones Universidad Diego Portales},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2009},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2009-duracion-carreras-alcaldes-1992-2008/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@incollection{bunker2007indice,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Índice de complejidad en las 52 comunas de la Región Metropolitana}},
  booktitle= {La reforma municipal en la mira},
  pages    = {31--41},
  publisher= {Expansiva},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2007},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2007-indice-complejidad-52-comunas-region-metropolitana/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@article{bunker2021book,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Book review: Coalitional Presidentialism in Comparative Perspective. Minority Presidents in Multiparty Systems}},
  journal  = {Party Politics},
  volume   = {27},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {385--386},
  year     = {2021},
  doi      = {10.1177/1354068820984270},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2021-review-coalitional-presidentialism-comparative-perspective-minority/},
  language = {english},
  note     = {Review of Coalitional Presidentialism in Comparative Perspective: Minority Presidents in Multiparty Systems, by Paul Chaisty, Nic Cheeseman and Timothy J. Power}
}

@article{bunker2019cultural,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Cultural backlash: Trump, Brexit, and authoritarian populism}},
  journal  = {Democratization},
  volume   = {26},
  number   = {7},
  pages    = {1323--1325},
  year     = {2019},
  doi      = {10.1080/13510347.2019.1601705},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2019-review-cultural-backlash-trump-brexit-authoritarian/},
  language = {english},
  note     = {Review of Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit, and Authoritarian Populism, by Pippa Norris and Ronald Inglehart}
}

@article{bunker2019richard,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Richard Nadeau, Éric Bélanger, Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Mathieu Turgeon and François Gélineau, Latin American Elections: Choice and Change}},
  journal  = {Journal of Latin American Studies},
  volume   = {51},
  number   = {3},
  pages    = {721--723},
  year     = {2019},
  doi      = {10.1017/S0022216X19000798},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2019-review-latin-american-elections-choice-change/},
  language = {english},
  note     = {Review of Latin American Elections: Choice and Change, by Richard Nadeau, Éric Bélanger, Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Mathieu Turgeon and François Gélineau}
}

@article{bunker2019party,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Party systems in Latin America: institutionalization, decay, and collapse, edited by Scott Mainwaring}},
  journal  = {Democratization},
  volume   = {26},
  number   = {3},
  pages    = {554--555},
  year     = {2019},
  doi      = {10.1080/13510347.2018.1536123},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2019-review-party-systems-latin-america-institutionalization/},
  language = {english},
  note     = {Review of Party Systems in Latin America: Institutionalization, Decay, and Collapse, by Scott Mainwaring (ed.)}
}

@article{bunker2019matthew,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Matthew S. Shugart and Rein Taagepera: Votes from seats: logical models of electoral systems}},
  journal  = {Public Choice},
  volume   = {178},
  number   = {1-2},
  pages    = {311--313},
  year     = {2019},
  doi      = {10.1007/s11127-018-0613-6},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2019-review-votes-seats-logical-models-electoral/},
  language = {english},
  note     = {Review of Votes from Seats: Logical Models of Electoral Systems, by Matthew S. Shugart and Rein Taagepera}
}

@misc{bunker2025chilean,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Chilean Political Landscape Dataset (CPLD)}},
  publisher= {Harvard Dataverse},
  version  = {4.0},
  howpublished= {Data set},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.7910/DVN/NGRY3R},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2025-chilean-political-landscape-dataset-cpld/},
  language = {english}
}

@misc{bunker2022votaciones,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and González Piucol, Cristóbal and Contreras Ubal, Sebastián and Toro, Pablo},
  title    = {{Votaciones individuales de la Convención Constitucional de Chile}},
  publisher= {Tresquintos},
  howpublished= {Data set},
  year     = {2022},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2022-votaciones-individuales-convencion-constitucional-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2026exparlamentarios,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Neira, Lukas and Vilches, Joselyn},
  title    = {{Exparlamentarios al gabinete: en qué carteras los nombran, en qué momento y cuánto duran}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {28},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.16705.11366},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-28-exparlamentarios-gabinete-carteras-nombran-momento-cuanto/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2026retornos,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Arrieta, Fernanda and Paz, Likan and Herrera, Martín},
  title    = {{Retornos marginales decrecientes en la magnitud de distrito y sus efectos sobre el sistema de partidos}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {26},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.31161.94560},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-26-retornos-marginales-decrecientes-magnitud-distrito-sus/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2026es,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Muñoz, Isaí Emanuel and Paz, Likan and Vargas, Maximiliano},
  title    = {{¿Cuál es el efecto de la redistribución automática de la magnitud de distrito en el resultado electoral? Una simulación de 2025 con las reglas de 2029}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {25},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2026},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.28098.34246},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-25-cual-es-efecto-redistribucion-automatica-magnitud/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{arrieta2025debut,
  author   = {Arrieta, Fernanda and Bunker, Kenneth and Vargas, Maximiliano},
  title    = {{Debut y despedida en el Congreso de Chile: trayectorias políticas 1989-2025}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {24},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.12649.56166},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-24-debut-despedida-congreso-chile-trayectorias-politicas/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2025experiencia,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Daza, Camila and Vargas, Maximiliano},
  title    = {{Experiencia legislativa en el Congreso de Chile: antigüedad por cohorte 1990-2030}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {23},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.14327.28324},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-23-experiencia-legislativa-congreso-chile-antiguedad-cohorte/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2025renovacion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Galdames, Lorena and Vargas, Maximiliano},
  title    = {{Renovación y reemplazo en el Congreso de Chile: patrones de reelección 1989-2025}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {22},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.10971.84006},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-22-renovacion-reemplazo-congreso-chile-patrones-reeleccion/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2025sesgo,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Mejías, Francisca and Vargas, Maximiliano},
  title    = {{Sesgo ideológico de votantes chilenos en el exterior: la burbuja europea y el equilibrio americano}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {21},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.33621.08166},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-21-sesgo-ideologico-votantes-chilenos-exterior-burbuja/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2025simulacion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Vargas, Maximiliano and Vilches, Joselyn},
  title    = {{Simulación legislativa 2025: posibles resultados y limitaciones}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {20},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.29777.39525},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-20-simulacion-legislativa-2025-posibles-resultados-limitaciones/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2025evolucion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Valdés, Benjamín and Vargas, Maximiliano},
  title    = {{Evolución asimétrica del sistema de partidos de Chile: una examinación temporal a nivel de distrito}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {19},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2025},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.10132.97922},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-19-evolucion-asimetrica-sistema-partidos-chile-examinacion/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024aumento,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{El aumento de los «party switchers» en el Congreso Nacional de Chile, 1990-2024}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {18},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.12303.70569},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-18-aumento-party-switchers-congreso-nacional-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024inestabilidad,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Inestabilidad gubernamental: rotación ministerial, duración de gabinetes y equilibrio partidario}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {17},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.35819.35363},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-17-inestabilidad-gubernamental-rotacion-ministerial-duracion-gabinetes/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024patrones,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Galdames, Lorena and Arrieta, Fernanda},
  title    = {{Patrones de reelección en las elecciones de alcalde de 2024}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {16},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.29108.46727},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-16-patrones-reeleccion-elecciones-alcalde-2024/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024coordinacion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Arrieta, Fernanda},
  title    = {{Coordinación de coaliciones y partidos en las elecciones regionales y locales de 2024}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {15},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.32995.98083},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-15-coordinacion-coaliciones-partidos-elecciones-regionales-locales/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024avance,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Arrieta, Fernanda},
  title    = {{El avance de los candidatos independientes en las elecciones locales de 2024}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {14},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.25734.59209},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-14-avance-candidatos-independientes-elecciones-locales-2024/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024una,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Una propuesta de reforma política simple que le puede dar gobernabilidad a Chile}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {13},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.36783.34723},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-13-propuesta-reforma-politica-simple-le-puede/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024se,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cómo se compara el «primer tiempo» de Gabriel Boric con presidentes anteriores?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {12},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.26726.43844},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-12-como-compara-primer-tiempo-gabriel-boric/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024velocidad,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Olavarría, Tito},
  title    = {{¿A qué velocidad se escrutan los votos en Chile?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {10},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.15771.23848},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-10-velocidad-escrutan-votos-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2024hora,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Jofré, Hugo},
  title    = {{¿A qué hora y con qué precisión se conocen los resultados electorales en Chile?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {9},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2024},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.29193.01128},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-09-hora-precision-conocen-resultados-electorales-chile/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023fue,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cuál fue el nivel de acuerdo en el pleno del Consejo Constitucional de 2023?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {8},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.27627.11046},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-08-cual-fue-nivel-acuerdo-pleno-consejo/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023fue,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cuál fue el nivel de acuerdo en las comisiones del Consejo Constitucional de 2023?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {7},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.30982.55365},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-07-cual-fue-nivel-acuerdo-comisiones-consejo/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023fue,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cuál fue el nivel de acuerdo en el pleno de la Convención Constitucional de 2021-2022?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {6},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.26767.76960},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-06-cual-fue-nivel-acuerdo-pleno-convencion/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023fue,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cuál fue el nivel de acuerdo en las comisiones de la Convención Constitucional de 2021-2022?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {5},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.13345.99688},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-05-cual-fue-nivel-acuerdo-comisiones-convencion/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023cuales,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cuáles son los efectos del sistema electoral propuesto por el Consejo Constitucional de 2023?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {4},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.36681.11361},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-04-cuales-son-efectos-sistema-electoral-propuesto/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023cuales,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Cuáles son los determinantes de la fragmentación partidaria?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {3},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.30461.74722},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-03-cuales-son-determinantes-fragmentacion-partidaria/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023chile,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Chile tiene demasiados o muy pocos legisladores?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {2},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.23750.86087},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-02-chile-tiene-demasiados-o-muy-pocos/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2023ha,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{¿Ha aumentado la fragmentación en el sistema de partidos a través de los años?}},
  institution= {Universidad San Sebastián, Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  type     = {Ideas: Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno},
  number   = {1},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2023},
  doi      = {10.13140/RG.2.2.37376.65337},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/ideas-01-ha-aumentado-fragmentacion-sistema-partidos-traves/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2022resumen,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and González Piucol, Cristóbal and Contreras Ubal, Sebastián and Espinosa, E.},
  title    = {{Resumen y análisis de las elecciones presidenciales y legislativas de Chile 2021}},
  institution= {Tresquintos},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2022},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2022-resumen-analisis-elecciones-presidenciales-legislativas-chile-2021/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2022breve,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Contreras Ubal, Sebastián and González Piucol, Cristóbal and Orellana, M.},
  title    = {{Breve historia de la elección presidencial y legislativa de Chile 2021}},
  institution= {Tresquintos},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2022},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2022-breve-historia-eleccion-presidencial-legislativa-chile-2021/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2018mujeres,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Mujeres en el poder legislativo de Chile, 1990-2018}},
  institution= {Programa Electoral, Universidad Central},
  type     = {Documentos de Trabajo Programa Electoral UCEN},
  number   = {3},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2018},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2018-mujeres-poder-legislativo-chile-1990-2018-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2018reeleccion,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Reelección en el poder legislativo de Chile, 1993-2017}},
  institution= {Programa Electoral, Universidad Central},
  type     = {Documentos de Trabajo Programa Electoral UCEN},
  number   = {2},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2018},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2018-reeleccion-poder-legislativo-chile-1993-2017-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2018retiros,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Retiros, remociones y renuncias en el poder legislativo de Chile, 1990-2018}},
  institution= {Programa Electoral, Universidad Central},
  type     = {Documentos de Trabajo Programa Electoral UCEN},
  number   = {1},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2018},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2018-retiros-remociones-renuncias-poder-legislativo-chile-1990-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2008modificaciones,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Modificaciones y reformas al sistema electoral municipal en Chile, 1992-2008}},
  institution= {Observatorio Político Electoral, Universidad Diego Portales},
  type     = {Documentos de Trabajo Observatorio Político Electoral UDP},
  number   = {3},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2008},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2008-modificaciones-reformas-al-sistema-electoral-municipal-chile-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2008desempeno,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{El desempeño electoral de las mujeres en las elecciones municipales}},
  institution= {Observatorio Político Electoral, Universidad Diego Portales},
  type     = {Documentos de Trabajo Observatorio Político Electoral UDP},
  number   = {2},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2008},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2008-desempeno-electoral-mujeres-elecciones-municipales-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2008incumbencia,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{La incumbencia y reelección de alcaldes en Chile, 1992-2004}},
  institution= {Observatorio Político Electoral, Universidad Diego Portales},
  type     = {Documentos de Trabajo Observatorio Político Electoral UDP},
  number   = {1},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2008},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2008-incumbencia-reeleccion-alcaldes-chile-1992-2004-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2007elecciones,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth and Navia, Patricio},
  title    = {{Elecciones municipales y reelección de alcaldes en Chile, 1992-2004}},
  institution= {Expansiva},
  type     = {En Foco},
  number   = {125},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2007},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2007-elecciones-municipales-reeleccion-alcaldes-chile-1992-2004-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}

@techreport{bunker2006revision,
  author   = {Bunker, Kenneth},
  title    = {{Revisión de experiencias internacionales sobre participación ciudadana en políticas sociales}},
  institution= {Expansiva},
  type     = {En Foco},
  number   = {87},
  address  = {Santiago},
  year     = {2006},
  url      = {https://kennethbunker.github.io/publications/2006-revision-experiencias-internacionales-sobre-participacion-ciudadana-politicas-wp/},
  language = {spanish}
}