I received my PhD in political science from The London School of Economics in 2016. Since then, I have been an Assistant Professor at Universidad Central, and held visiting positions at Sapienza University and University of Milan. I am also Associate Researcher at the Obervatorio Político Electoral of Universidad Diego Portales. Here is my full CV. You can also click on the links on the sidebar for more information :)
I am interested in the interaction between electoral systems and party systems. The purpose of my PhD was to understand how and why parties form electoral and government coalitions in presidentialism. You can read an example of this work here, a paper in which I attempt to contribute to the general theory of coalition formation by examining partisan strategies in both the run-up to elections and the maintenance of governments.
I am also interested in electoral forecasting. In the last year, or so, I have been working on a method designed-for-use in new democracies, but built-to-work anywhere. The method is called the Two-Stage Model (TSM). You can read the technical details of the TSM here, an example of its application in 11 new democracies (in Latin America) here, and an example of its application in an advanced democracy (Italy) here.
You can find a short list of my most recent publications below (for abstracts, plus download and data links, click here):
2020. “A two-stage model to forecast elections in new democracies” International Journal of Forecasting. (Forthcoming).
2020. “Coalitional presidentialism in comparative perspective: Minority presidents in multiparty systems, by Paul Chaisty, Nic Cheeseman, and Timothy J. Power.” Party Politics. (Forthcoming).
2019. “Why do parties cooperate in presidentialism? Electoral and government coalition formation in Latin America.” Revista de Estudios Políticos 186(4): 171-199. doi.
2019. “Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit, and authoritarian populism, by Pippa Norris and Ronald Inglehart.” Democratization 26(7): 1323-1325. doi. (with Daniel Brieba).
2019. “Voter Equalization and Turnout Bias After Electoral Reform: Evidence from Chile’s Voluntary Voting Law.” Latin American Politics and Society 61(4): 23-46. doi.
2019. “Richard Nadeau, Éric Bélanger, Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Mathieu Turgeon and Françoi Gélinean, Latin American Elections: Choice and Change.” Journal of Latin American Studies 51(3): 721-723. doi.
2019. “Party Systems in Latin America: Institutionalization, Decay, and Collapse, by Scott Mainwaring (Eds.).” Democratization 26(3): 554-555. doi.
2019. “Matthew S. Shugart and Rein Taagepera: Votes from seats: Logical models of electoral systems.” Public Choice 178(1-2): 311-313. doi.
2018. “The 2017 Elections and the Fragmentation of the Party System in Chile.” Revista Chilena de Derecho y Ciencia Política 9(2): 204-229. doi.
Outside academia, I am a columnist for Chilean daily newspaper Las Últimas Noticias, Director of the electoral analysis website Tresquintos, and co-creator of online election game #ElectoralDeathMatch. You can also follow me on Twitter!