Kenneth Bunker


Personal website

Google Scholar

Research Gate



Hello world!

I received my PhD in political science from The London School of Economics in 2016. Since then, I have been an Assistant Professor at Universidad Central, and held visiting positions at Sapienza University and University of Milan. I am also Associate Researcher at the Observatorio Político Electoral of Universidad Diego Portales. Here is my full CV. You can also click on the links on the sidebar for more information :)

I am interested in the interaction between electoral systems and party systems. The purpose of my PhD was to understand how and why parties form electoral and government coalitions in presidentialism. You can read an example of this work here, a paper in which I attempt to contribute to the general theory of coalition formation by examining partisan strategies in both the run-up to elections and the maintenance of governments.

I am also interested in electoral forecasting. In the last year, or so, I have been working on a method designed-for-use in new democracies, but built-to-work anywhere. The method is called the Two-Stage Model (TSM). You can read the technical details of the TSM here, an example of its application in 11 new democracies (in Latin America) here, and an example of its application in an advanced democracy (Italy) here.

You can find a short list of my most recent publications below (for abstracts, plus download and data links, click here):

Here are some working papers (please contact me for citation instructions):

Outside academia, I am a columnist for Chilean daily newspaper Las Últimas Noticias, Director of the electoral analysis website Tresquintos, and co-creator of online election game #ElectoralDeathMatch. You can also follow me on Twitter!